Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.20
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 43.22%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 29.70%; Draw: 27.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.64, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 08:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.14%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.00%E -0.607%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.56%EV -1.43%E -0.393%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -4.08%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 09:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 09:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -5.57%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.84%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.27%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.60%EV -8.83%E -2.88%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 08:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |