Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Urawa Red Diamonds v Yokohama F Marinos

Início: 2026-08-29 10:03 UTC

Final: Urawa Red Diamonds 3–2 Yokohama F Marinos

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Previsão 43.22%2.31odd justa
EV -4.91%
Vantagem -2.23%
Kelly -4.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.18%43.21%43.21%44.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.66%46.51%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante)

Previsão 29.70%3.37odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -0.607%
Kelly -0.871%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.86%29.77%29.68%31.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.073.063.3033.90%32.60%32.68%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.08%3.69odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.393%
Kelly -0.541%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%27.01%27.11%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.403.403.6430.77%29.37%29.41%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 43.22%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante): 29.70%; Empate: 27.08%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.64, com valor esperado de -1.43%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:46
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:46
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 08:01
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.14%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.00%E -0.607%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.56%EV -1.43%E -0.393%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 09:55
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:16
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:16
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:16
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:10
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:10
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:15
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:10
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:14
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -4.08%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:16
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:15
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 09:48
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 09:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 08:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 08:05
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 07:55
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:00
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 08:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 09:05
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 08:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -5.57%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.84%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:20
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:05
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:46
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 08:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.27%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.60%EV -8.83%E -2.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:40
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 08:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 07:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 07:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 09:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -7.93%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 08:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-29 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-29 09:50
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-08-29 09:55