The School of Odds
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Tokyo Verdy v Vissel Kobe

2026-09-02 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Verdy (Local)

Prediction 20.10%4.97fair odd
EV -7.52%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.10%20.10%20.10%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.534.504.6022.22%22.08%22.22%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vissel Kobe (Visit)

Prediction 50.54%1.98fair odd
EV -6.51%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -7.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.08%50.54%50.54%50.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.831.831.8555.25%54.69%54.64%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.36%3.41fair odd
EV -7.52%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%29.36%29.36%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.113.103.1532.26%32.11%32.26%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 20.10%; Vissel Kobe (Visit): 50.54%; Draw: 29.36%. For Vissel Kobe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -6.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 10:10
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.52%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 10:10
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:11
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:10
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:10
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:11
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:10
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 16.66%1.56I 64.10%NM 50.84%2.44I 40.98%NM 32.50%26.1%2026-08-28 13:05