Language:English
Tokyo Verdy v Vissel Kobe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Prediction 27.08%3.69fair odd
EV +0.741%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.272%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%26.97%27.08%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.453.7231.25%29.22%28.99%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vissel Kobe (Visit)
Prediction 41.06%2.44fair odd
EV +0.186%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.129%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%41.18%40.99%42.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.202.4447.62%44.92%45.45%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.86%3.14fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -0.588%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%31.85%31.93%33.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.61%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 27.08%; Vissel Kobe (Visit): 41.06%; Draw: 31.86%. For Tokyo Verdy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.741%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.51%EV +0.741%E +0.199%K +0.272%G +0.002% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.99%EV -7.21%E -3.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -6.97%E -2.39%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -1.24%E -0.399%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.34%EV -4.13%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -3.15%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -10.49%E -4.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -10.49%E -4.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV +0.186%E +0.076%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV +0.186%E +0.076%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV +0.186%E +0.076%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.34%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%EV -10.16%E -3.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.39%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.45%EV -12.53%E -3.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.89%EV -11.43%E -4.11%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.34%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |