Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tokyo Verdy v Vissel Kobe

Início: 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Final: Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Vissel Kobe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tokyo Verdy (Local)

Previsão 27.08%3.69odd justa
EV +0.741%
Vantagem +0.199%
Kelly +0.272%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.51%26.97%27.08%27.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.453.7231.25%29.22%28.99%26.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vissel Kobe (Visitante)

Previsão 41.06%2.44odd justa
EV +0.186%
Vantagem +0.076%
Kelly +0.129%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%41.18%40.99%42.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.202.4447.62%44.92%45.45%40.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.86%3.14odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.399%
Kelly -0.588%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.87%31.85%31.93%33.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.61%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 27.08%; Vissel Kobe (Visitante): 41.06%; Empate: 31.86%. Para Tokyo Verdy (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.69. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.72, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.741%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.51%EV +0.741%E +0.199%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.99%EV -7.21%E -3.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -6.97%E -2.39%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -1.24%E -0.399%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 09:20
Pinnacle🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.34%EV -4.13%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -3.15%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 09:55
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:55
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -10.49%E -4.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:20
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -10.49%E -4.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.22%EV -10.90%E -5.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV +0.186%E +0.076%K +0.129%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV +0.186%E +0.076%K +0.129%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 09:55
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV +0.186%E +0.076%K +0.129%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:53
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:20
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 09:50
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.34%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%EV -10.16%E -3.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:40
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:50
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.39%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.45%EV -12.53%E -3.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.89%EV -11.43%E -4.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 09:53
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.34%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%1.1%2026-09-02 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66%2.1%2026-09-02 09:55