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Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Prediction 26.49%3.77fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%26.49%26.48%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.423.403.6331.45%29.21%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)
Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.80%46.33%46.27%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.982.002.1153.76%50.61%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.18%27.25%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.303.6331.25%30.03%30.30%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 26.49%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 46.30%; Draw: 27.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.63, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.64%EV -3.84%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.72%EV -4.15%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.64%EV -1.24%E -0.342%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 09:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 09:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.75%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.93%E -3.45%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-18 09:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 09:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 09:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.80%EV -2.30%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-18 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 09:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-18 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 09:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 09:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-18 09:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.16%EV -12.05%E -3.63%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.70%EV -13.88%E -7.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-18 09:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -12.95%E -6.89%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-18 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -13.90%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.02%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-18 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.25%EV -15.76%E -4.96%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.84%EV -12.49%E -6.61%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 26.91%EV -12.40%E -3.85%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-18 09:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.