La scuola delle quote

Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale

Inizio: 2026-03-18 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tokyo Verdy (Casa)

Previsione 26.49%3.77quota equa
EV -3.84%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.91%26.49%26.48%27.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.183.423.403.6331.45%29.21%29.41%27.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kawasaki Frontale (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.30%2.16quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.80%46.33%46.27%47.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.982.002.1153.76%50.61%50.00%47.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.21%3.68quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.342%
Kelly -0.472%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.38%27.18%27.25%27.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.333.303.6331.25%30.03%30.30%27.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.63I 27.55%NM 26.64%EV -3.84%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.72%EV -4.15%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.64%EV -1.24%E -0.342%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 09:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 09:39
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 09:34
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.75%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.93%E -3.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 09:54
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 09:35
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 09:55
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 09:34
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 09:35
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.80%EV -2.30%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 08:25
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 09:40
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 09:40
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 09:40
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 09:40
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 09:34
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 09:34
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 09:34
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 09:35
Unibet (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 26.16%EV -12.05%E -3.63%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.70%EV -13.88%E -7.46%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-18 09:49
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -12.95%E -6.89%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-18 09:40
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -13.90%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.02%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-18 09:35
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 27.25%EV -15.76%E -4.96%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.84%EV -12.49%E -6.61%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.91%EV -12.40%E -3.85%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-18 09:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.