Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale

2026-08-09 09:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Verdy (Local)

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%26.75%26.70%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.52%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)

Prediction 44.24%2.26fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.09%44.25%44.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.082.102.1551.02%48.09%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.02%3.45fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.37%29.16%29.05%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.03%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 26.74%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 44.24%; Draw: 29.02%. For Tokyo Verdy (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -3.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.35%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.16%EV -5.11%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 12:55
Marathon Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.33%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:04
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -5.88%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.99%EV -5.11%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 11:55
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.24%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:25
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.69%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 11:25
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.14%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 11:28
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.59%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:24
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:45
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:44
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:45
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:44
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.04%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -12.29%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -12.84%E -6.52%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 10:54
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.04%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 11:09
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -15.77%E -5.01%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.15%EV -13.29%E -6.78%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -11.49%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 11:09
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.11%E -5.52%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.