Language:English
Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Prediction 29.62%3.38fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%29.68%29.57%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.22%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)
Prediction 40.59%2.46fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.54%40.61%41.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.302.4046.51%43.99%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.693%
Kelly -0.996%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.96%29.77%29.82%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2834.48%32.41%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 29.62%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 40.59%; Draw: 29.80%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.28, with an expected value of -2.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.59%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.59%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 08:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.59%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.95%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.74%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.27%E -0.693%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 08:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 11:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 08:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.23%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -7.60%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.83%E -2.51%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -7.04%E -2.26%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 07:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 18:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.92%EV -9.89%E -4.46%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 08:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 04:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 04:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -12.63%E -4.28%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -12.63%E -4.28%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -12.73%E -5.92%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-06 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.11%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 08:55 |
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