Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale

Inizio: 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC

Finale: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tokyo Verdy (Casa)

Previsione 29.62%3.38quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.95%29.68%29.57%31.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.22%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.59%2.46quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.45%40.54%40.61%41.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.272.302.4046.51%43.99%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.80%3.36quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.693%
Kelly -0.996%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.96%29.77%29.82%30.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.093.103.2834.48%32.41%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tokyo Verdy (Casa): 29.62%; Kawasaki Frontale (Trasferta): 40.59%; Pareggio: 29.80%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.36. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.28, con un valore atteso del -2.27%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.59%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.59%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 08:29
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.59%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 08:30
Pinnacle🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.95%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.74%EV -4.21%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.27%E -0.693%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 08:50
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 08:00
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 08:55
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 11:09
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 08:10
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.23%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 08:40
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -7.60%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.83%E -2.51%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -7.04%E -2.26%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 08:40
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 23:09
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 04:15
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 14:10
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 07:00
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 18:49
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 18:49
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 06:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.92%EV -9.89%E -4.46%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 08:33
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 08:35
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 08:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 04:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 04:14
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 04:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.70%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 08:05
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -12.63%E -4.28%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -12.63%E -4.28%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -12.73%E -5.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-06 11:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.11%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 23:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-08-09 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-08-09 08:55
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-08-09 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-08-09 08:55
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%2.2%2026-08-09 08:55
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.0%2026-08-09 08:55