Language:English
Tokyo Verdy v Kashima Antlers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Prediction 22.17%4.51fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%22.19%22.16%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.134.184.6226.32%24.23%23.95%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kashima Antlers (Visit)
Prediction 48.30%2.07fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.78%48.34%48.30%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.911.902.0054.35%52.46%52.49%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV +0.388%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.162%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%29.47%29.54%30.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.153.4033.33%31.82%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 22.17%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 48.30%; Draw: 29.53%. For Tokyo Verdy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.55%EV +2.42%E +0.525%K +0.670%G +0.016% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20%EV -6.77%E -3.51%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.24%EV -7.29%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.76%EV -1.57%E -0.353%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.84%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.84%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.84%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.25%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 09:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -9.67%E -5.17%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.61%EV -6.77%E -3.51%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -7.26%E -3.78%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -6.77%E -3.51%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV +0.388%E +0.114%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.05%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.05%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.19%EV -8.22%E -4.33%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.67%E -5.17%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 08:11 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.90%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -9.67%E -5.17%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.51%EV -9.06%E -2.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.77%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.09%EV -11.12%E -6.04%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -6.77%E -3.51%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.74%E -4.05%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -10.15%E -5.46%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -10.15%E -5.46%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -7.74%E -4.05%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -10.64%E -5.75%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -10.21%E -2.52%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.26%E -3.78%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -3.16%E -0.962%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.74%E -4.05%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -10.15%E -5.46%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -9.19%E -4.89%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.74%E -4.05%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.64%E -5.75%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.64%E -5.75%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.64%E -5.75%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 08:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.64%E -5.75%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |