The School of Odds
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Shimizu S Pulse v Yokohama F Marinos

2026-08-15 09:30 UTC — J League

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shimizu S Pulse (Local)

Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.30%38.85%38.71%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.61%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)

Prediction 32.76%3.05fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.26%32.79%32.65%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9338.46%35.96%35.71%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd
EV -0.213%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.35%28.65%29.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.243.203.5032.79%30.83%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 38.73%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 32.76%; Draw: 28.51%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -0.213%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.61%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.87%EV -5.63%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.73%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -6.28%E -2.59%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -6.31%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:44
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -0.213%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 11:40
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.72%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:44
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.72%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:44
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.99%E -3.82%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -1.64%E -0.475%K -0.669%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 11:39
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.99%E -3.82%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.06%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 11:38
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.99%E -3.82%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.92%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.06%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 11:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.86%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.18%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.19%E -3.24%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.86%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.56%EV -12.47%E -4.06%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 11:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.86%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.04%E -4.28%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-08 11:45
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -11.62%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-08 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -13.04%E -4.28%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-08 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.