Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.25
assuming max odds 3.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 41.02%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 30.22%; Draw: 28.77%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -1.55%E -0.647%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.94%EV -7.24%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 08:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 07:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 07:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 07:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -5.24%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -1.62%E -0.475%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -5.24%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.53%E -2.68%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 07:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.89%E -4.87%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.89%E -4.87%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.89%E -4.87%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 04:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 04:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.28%E -4.63%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.28%E -4.63%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 04:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.71%EV -8.53%E -3.82%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.47%EV -9.96%E -3.34%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:17 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 04:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |