Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shimizu S Pulse v Yokohama F Marinos

Início: 2026-08-15 09:30 UTC

Final: Shimizu S Pulse 0–1 Yokohama F Marinos

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shimizu S Pulse (Local)

Previsão 41.02%2.44odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.647%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.30%40.94%41.04%42.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.282.302.4046.51%43.90%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante)

Previsão 30.22%3.31odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.554%
Kelly -0.801%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.22%30.33%30.19%31.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.852.992.953.2535.09%33.47%33.90%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.77%3.48odd justa
EV -1.62%
Vantagem -0.475%
Kelly -0.671%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.82%28.73%28.77%29.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.193.203.4233.33%31.35%31.25%29.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 41.02%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante): 30.22%; Empate: 28.77%. Para Shimizu S Pulse (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.40, com valor esperado de -1.55%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -1.55%E -0.647%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.94%EV -7.24%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:25
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 09:25
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 08:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 08:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 08:34
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 07:35
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 07:35
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 07:39
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 07:39
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 07:34
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -5.24%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -1.62%E -0.475%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 09:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -5.24%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.53%E -2.68%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:19
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:19
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 07:59
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:20
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:18
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.89%E -4.87%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 08:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.89%E -4.87%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 08:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.89%E -4.87%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 08:34
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:19
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:19
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:05
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 08:44
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 08:44
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 09:19
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 04:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 04:54
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.28%E -4.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.28%E -4.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 04:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.71%EV -8.53%E -3.82%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.47%EV -9.96%E -3.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:17
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 04:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 08:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 09:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 09:19
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 09:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 08:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:20
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-15 09:20
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-08-15 09:25