Language:English
Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S Pulse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus (Local)
Prediction 49.79%2.01fair odd
EV -0.417%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.18%49.60%49.74%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.852.0055.56%53.93%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shimizu S Pulse (Visit)
Prediction 23.95%4.17fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +0.858%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.97%24.17%23.98%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.833.854.3331.25%26.10%25.97%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.62%26.23%26.28%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.503.503.7429.41%28.57%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 49.79%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visit): 23.95%; Draw: 26.26%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -7.39%E -3.97%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV +3.72%E +0.858%K +1.12%G +0.041% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.88%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV +0.603%E +0.144%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.86%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV +0.603%E +0.144%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.86%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.05%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.29%EV -1.31%E -0.319%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -1.81%E -0.483%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -7.39%E -3.97%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -5.62%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.53%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 09:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 09:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.25%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.11%EV -9.46%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.64%EV -10.21%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.18%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.38%E -4.56%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -12.57%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -9.38%E -5.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.57%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -0.417%E -0.208%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -23.35%E -7.30%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.