Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S Pulse

2026-08-08 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nagoya Grampus (Local)

Prediction 45.47%2.20fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.44%45.55%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.022.042.1052.08%49.60%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shimizu S Pulse (Visit)

Prediction 27.96%3.58fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%27.93%27.91%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.073.293.303.4532.57%30.43%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%26.63%26.53%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.353.6531.25%29.46%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 45.47%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visit): 27.96%; Draw: 26.57%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -3.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV -4.51%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.66%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 11:53
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.42%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.93%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 11:49
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 45.89%EV -6.33%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.02%E -0.828%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 12:00
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.47%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.61%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 11:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 11:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 11:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 11:44
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 11:49
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.12%EV -7.70%E -3.79%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.53%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:23
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.93%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:24
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-01 12:49
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.72%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.55%EV -14.16%E -4.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -12.85%E -3.92%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 11:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 11:14
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -14.98%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-01 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.06%EV -12.70%E -6.61%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -14.98%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-01 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.