Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S Pulse

Inizio: 2026-08-08 10:00 UTC

Finale: Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Shimizu S Pulse

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nagoya Grampus (Casa)

Previsione 49.79%2.01quota equa
EV -0.417%
Vantaggio -0.208%
Kelly -0.417%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.18%49.60%49.74%51.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.851.852.0055.56%53.93%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Shimizu S Pulse (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.95%4.17quota equa
EV +3.72%
Vantaggio +0.858%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.97%24.17%23.98%28.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.833.854.3331.25%26.10%25.97%23.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.26%3.81quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.483%
Kelly -0.659%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.62%26.23%26.28%26.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.503.503.7429.41%28.57%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nagoya Grampus (Casa): 49.79%; Shimizu S Pulse (Trasferta): 23.95%; Pareggio: 26.26%. Per Shimizu S Pulse (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.17. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.33, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.72%.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -7.39%E -3.97%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV +3.72%E +0.858%K +1.12%G +0.041%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.88%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV +0.603%E +0.144%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.86%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV +0.603%E +0.144%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.86%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.05%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.29%EV -1.31%E -0.319%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -1.81%E -0.483%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 09:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -7.39%E -3.97%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -5.62%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.53%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:49
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 09:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 09:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:50
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 09:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:50
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.25%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.11%EV -9.46%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.64%EV -10.21%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.18%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.38%E -4.56%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -12.57%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 09:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -9.38%E -5.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.57%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 09:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 09:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -0.417%E -0.208%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -23.35%E -7.30%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-05 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-08 09:55
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-08 09:50
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-08-08 09:55
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%3.7%2026-08-08 09:55