Language:English
Mito HollyHock v FC Machida Zelvia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mito HollyHock (Local)
Prediction 22.37%4.47fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +0.722%
Kelly +0.922%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.54%22.41%22.29%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.104.104.6226.32%24.41%24.39%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Machida Zelvia (Visit)
Prediction 50.23%1.99fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.57%50.18%50.32%51.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.841.831.9356.50%54.46%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.42%27.39%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.5232.26%29.66%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mito HollyHock (Local): 22.37%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visit): 50.23%; Draw: 27.40%. For Mito HollyHock (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.54%EV +3.34%E +0.722%K +0.922%G +0.031% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -1.58%E -0.360%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.10%EV -2.03%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.41%EV -3.55%E -1.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.53%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.53%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.53%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.18%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.18%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -5.06%E -2.68%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.31%EV -8.76%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 08:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -11.09%E -6.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -7.57%E -4.11%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.66%EV -10.08%E -5.63%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.66%EV -10.08%E -5.63%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.66%EV -10.08%E -5.63%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.65%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -10.59%E -5.95%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 06:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 06:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.44% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |