默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mito HollyHock v FC Machida Zelvia

2026-08-29 09:00 UTC — J League

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mito HollyHock (主队)

预测 24.59%4.07公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -1.05%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.53%24.59%24.59%25.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.713.753.9029.41%26.95%26.67%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Machida Zelvia (客队)

预测 45.63%2.19公平赔率
EV -5.09%
优势 -2.44%
Kelly -4.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
44.52%45.63%45.67%46.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.892.012.002.0852.91%49.86%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.77%3.36公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -0.621%
Kelly -0.892%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.29

博彩公司预测分布
28.84%29.78%29.74%30.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.073.053.2934.48%32.54%32.79%30.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Mito HollyHock (主队):24.59%;FC Machida Zelvia (客队):45.63%;平局:29.77%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.36。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.29,期望值为-2.04%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.08%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 13:10
Pinnacle🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.59%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -5.09%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.65%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 12:00
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.31%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -5.09%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.23%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.31%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -5.09%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.31%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -5.09%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 11:50
1xBet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.86%EV -5.56%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.12%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -2.04%E -0.621%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 11:25
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.54%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -7.37%E -3.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 10:50
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.54%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.54%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.77%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -4.13%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 11:15
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.77%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:50
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.77%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:55
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.77%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 12:05
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.00%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.00%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.00%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 12:25
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.00%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 12:25
Bet Right🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.23%E -2.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.23%EV -10.23%E -2.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.78%EV -13.76%E -7.28%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 10:50
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.46%E -3.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 11:20
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.46%E -3.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -12.69%E -3.58%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.72%EV -12.39%E -6.45%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.56%EV -11.57%E -3.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 10:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -13.92%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -10.56%E -5.39%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -15.15%E -4.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -11.47%E -5.91%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 11:00
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -16.38%E -4.82%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-23 10:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%7.0%2026-08-23 11:30
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.82%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%16.2%2026-08-23 10:55