默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mito HollyHock v FC Machida Zelvia

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 09:00 UTC

最终结果: Mito HollyHock 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mito HollyHock (主队)

预测 22.37%4.47公平赔率
EV +3.34%
优势 +0.722%
Kelly +0.922%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 4.62

博彩公司预测分布
20.54%22.41%22.29%23.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.104.104.6226.32%24.41%24.39%21.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Machida Zelvia (客队)

预测 50.23%1.99公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -3.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
48.57%50.18%50.32%51.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.841.831.9356.50%54.46%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.40%3.65公平赔率
EV -3.55%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.52

博彩公司预测分布
26.48%27.42%27.39%28.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.373.403.5232.26%29.66%29.41%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Mito HollyHock (主队):22.37%;FC Machida Zelvia (客队):50.23%;平局:27.40%。 对于“Mito HollyHock (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.47。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.62,对应+3.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.54%EV +3.34%E +0.722%K +0.922%G +0.031%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -1.58%E -0.360%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:54
Pinnacle🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 22.10%EV -2.03%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.41%EV -3.55%E -1.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 08:50
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 08:20
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 08:45
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 08:46
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.53%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.53%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 08:55
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.53%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 08:55
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:45
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 08:45
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 08:45
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:55
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.18%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 08:44
Betsson🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.18%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:50
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -5.06%E -2.68%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 08:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 08:15
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 08:15
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 08:55
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:15
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:15
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:15
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:15
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -9.08%E -5.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:15
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.31%EV -8.76%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 08:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -11.09%E -6.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 08:45
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 08:15
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -7.57%E -4.11%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 08:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 08:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.66%EV -10.08%E -5.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 08:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.66%EV -10.08%E -5.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 08:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.66%EV -10.08%E -5.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 08:15
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 08:46
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.65%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.58%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:46
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -10.59%E -5.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 08:45
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 08:45
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 08:30
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 06:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.00%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 06:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 08:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 08:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 08:46
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 08:46
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-29 08:55
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-08-29 08:46