Language:English
Kyoto Purple Sanga v Mito HollyHock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)
Prediction 43.45%2.30fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.90%43.40%43.56%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.73%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mito HollyHock (Visit)
Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV -0.847%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.333%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%28.02%27.89%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.5432.79%30.45%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -0.960%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.389%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.77%28.57%28.55%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.193.153.4732.26%31.39%31.75%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 43.45%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 28.01%; Draw: 28.54%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.54, with an expected value of -0.847%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -2.24%E -0.996%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.41%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.41%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -2.53%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -0.960%E -0.277%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.72%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.72%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -5.72%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -0.847%E -0.239%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -8.13%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.38%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.57%E -4.78%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.63%E -4.63%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.69%EV -8.13%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -9.52%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -1.97%E -0.562%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |