Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Mito HollyHock

Início: 2026-08-22 10:00 UTC

Final: Kyoto Purple Sanga 1–3 Mito HollyHock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)

Previsão 43.45%2.30odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.996%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.90%43.40%43.56%44.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.73%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mito HollyHock (Visitante)

Previsão 28.01%3.57odd justa
EV -0.847%
Vantagem -0.239%
Kelly -0.333%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.31%28.02%27.89%29.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.283.303.5432.79%30.45%30.30%28.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.54%3.50odd justa
EV -0.960%
Vantagem -0.277%
Kelly -0.389%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.77%28.57%28.55%29.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.193.153.4732.26%31.39%31.75%28.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 43.45%; Mito HollyHock (Visitante): 28.01%; Empate: 28.54%. Para Mito HollyHock (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.57. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.54, com valor esperado de -0.847%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -2.24%E -0.996%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 09:34
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.41%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 09:34
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.41%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 09:35
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -2.53%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -0.960%E -0.277%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:05
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.72%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.72%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 09:40
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -5.72%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -0.847%E -0.239%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -8.13%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.38%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 09:40
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 09:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:38
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 09:40
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:34
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.57%E -4.78%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:05
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 09:40
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 09:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 09:34
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.63%E -4.63%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.69%EV -8.13%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -9.52%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -1.97%E -0.562%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 09:40
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 09:40
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-08-22 09:45
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-08-22 09:55