Language:English
Kyoto Purple Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)
Prediction 33.87%2.95fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.569%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.76%33.98%33.83%37.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.692.672.9240.32%37.22%37.38%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avispa Fukuoka (Visit)
Prediction 36.97%2.70fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.606%
Kelly +0.952%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.38%36.89%37.00%38.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.542.7541.67%39.44%39.37%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.16%3.43fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.604%
Kelly -0.860%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.13%29.13%29.17%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.103.3634.48%31.84%32.26%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 33.87%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visit): 36.97%; Draw: 29.16%. For Avispa Fukuoka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -16.00%E -6.45%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV +1.67%E +0.606%K +0.952%G +0.016% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -13.62%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -13.62%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -13.62%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -2.11%E -0.729%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.68%EV -4.99%E -1.94%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.82%EV -2.03%E -0.604%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.81%EV -1.09%E -0.374%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.81%EV -1.09%E -0.374%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.09%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -2.61%E -0.782%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.76%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.87%E -2.89%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.71%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.87%E -2.89%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.71%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.76%EV -1.09%E -0.374%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.26%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -9.03%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -10.91%E -4.15%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -15.44%E -5.33%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.25%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.91%E -4.15%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.91%E -4.15%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.25%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.25%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |