Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka

Início: 2026-08-29 10:00 UTC

Final: Kyoto Purple Sanga 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)

Previsão 33.87%2.95odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.374%
Kelly -0.569%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.76%33.98%33.83%37.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.482.692.672.9240.32%37.22%37.38%34.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante)

Previsão 36.97%2.70odd justa
EV +1.67%
Vantagem +0.606%
Kelly +0.952%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.38%36.89%37.00%38.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.542.7541.67%39.44%39.37%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.16%3.43odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.604%
Kelly -0.860%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.13%29.13%29.17%30.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.143.103.3634.48%31.84%32.26%29.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 33.87%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante): 36.97%; Empate: 29.16%. Para Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.70. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -16.00%E -6.45%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV +1.67%E +0.606%K +0.952%G +0.016%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:55
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -2.03%E -0.766%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -13.62%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -13.62%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -13.62%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -2.11%E -0.729%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.68%EV -4.99%E -1.94%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.82%EV -2.03%E -0.604%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 09:55
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:46
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:44
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:44
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.81%EV -1.09%E -0.374%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 09:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.81%EV -1.09%E -0.374%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 09:46
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.09%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -2.61%E -0.782%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 09:45
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.87%E -2.89%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.71%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:45
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.87%E -2.89%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.71%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:46
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.76%EV -1.09%E -0.374%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.26%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 09:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 09:46
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 09:46
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 09:45
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 09:46
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 09:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 09:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -9.03%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -10.91%E -4.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -9.42%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -15.44%E -5.33%K -8.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 09:46
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 09:46
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.25%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 09:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.91%E -4.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.91%E -4.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.25%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 09:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.25%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.27%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%0.8%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%0.8%2026-08-29 09:55
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-08-29 09:50