Language:English
Kawasaki Frontale v Kyoto Purple Sanga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kawasaki Frontale (Local)
Prediction 42.06%2.38fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.69%42.04%41.96%43.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit)
Prediction 30.44%3.29fair odd
EV +0.139%
Edge +0.042%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.87%30.53%30.45%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.023.053.2935.09%33.13%32.79%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -0.989%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.43%27.59%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.303.6031.25%30.02%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 42.06%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit): 30.44%; Draw: 27.50%. For Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.285. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.290, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.139%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.37%EV -7.89%E -3.60%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.87%EV +0.139%E +0.042%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.52%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -2.60%E -0.813%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -1.81%E -0.508%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.37%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 09:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.37%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.37%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.31%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.31%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -10.41%E -4.89%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -0.989%E -0.275%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.31%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.31%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.31%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.21%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.37%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 07:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -13.25%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |