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Kawasaki Frontale v Kyoto Purple Sanga

2026-08-15 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.77%43.54%43.42%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.122.2050.00%47.51%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit)

Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%30.47%30.29%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.1935.71%33.26%33.33%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.780%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.74%25.99%26.29%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.543.7530.30%28.29%28.25%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 43.51%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit): 30.40%; Draw: 26.09%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.14%E -0.572%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 10:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 10:39
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.50%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.34%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -3.04%E -0.952%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.35%EV -5.54%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 10:20
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 10:19
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.33%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 10:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -7.33%E -3.44%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 10:50
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 10:19
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 10:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 11:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.45%EV -12.11%E -6.00%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.95%EV -10.94%E -3.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-09 10:23
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 10:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -13.37%E -4.69%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-09 10:25
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -14.89%E -5.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-09 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 42.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.30%10.0%2026-08-09 12:10