Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashiwa Reysol v Yokohama F Marinos

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 10:00 UTC

Final: Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Yokohama F Marinos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashiwa Reysol (Local)

Prediction 55.29%1.81fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.71%55.29%55.28%56.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.681.671.7362.89%59.69%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)

Prediction 20.57%4.86fair odd
EV +0.363%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.46%20.57%20.56%22.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.404.8825.00%22.56%22.73%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%24.14%24.16%25.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.793.804.0727.78%26.38%26.32%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 55.29%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 20.57%; Draw: 24.14%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.363%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.54%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.46%EV +0.363%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -2.31%E -0.486%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 09:25
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.77%EV -4.35%E -2.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%EV -3.34%E -0.710%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.70%EV -1.73%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.34%E -0.710%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 09:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.34%E -0.710%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 09:35
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.37%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 09:25
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 09:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.42%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -7.29%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 09:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.98%EV -6.42%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.21%EV -12.09%E -7.60%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -6.42%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 09:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 09:50
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:29
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 08:25
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 08:29
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 09:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 09:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.97%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.97%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.97%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -10.95%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -10.95%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.11%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -13.62%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 09:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.62%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 08:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-06 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-09-06 09:50
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-09-06 09:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-09-06 09:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.82%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%2.4%2026-09-06 09:50