Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashiwa Reysol v Yokohama F Marinos

Inicio: 2026-09-06 10:00 UTC

Final: Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Yokohama F Marinos

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashiwa Reysol (Local)

Predicción 55.29%1.81momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -5.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.71%55.29%55.28%56.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.591.681.671.7362.89%59.69%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante)

Predicción 20.57%4.86momio equitativo
EV +0.363%
Ventaja +0.074%
Kelly +0.094%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.46%20.57%20.56%22.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.404.8825.00%22.56%22.73%20.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.14%4.14momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.95%24.14%24.16%25.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.793.804.0727.78%26.38%26.32%24.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 55.29%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante): 20.57%; Empate: 24.14%. Para Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.86. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.88, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.363%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.54%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.46%EV +0.363%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -2.31%E -0.486%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 09:25
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.77%EV -4.35%E -2.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%EV -3.34%E -0.710%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.70%EV -1.73%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.34%E -0.710%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 09:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.34%E -0.710%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 09:35
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.37%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 09:25
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 09:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.42%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -7.29%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 09:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.98%EV -6.42%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.21%EV -12.09%E -7.60%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -6.42%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 09:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 09:50
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:29
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 08:25
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 08:29
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 09:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 09:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.97%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.97%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.97%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -10.95%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -10.95%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -8.77%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.11%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -13.62%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 09:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.62%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 08:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.01%E -3.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.74%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-06 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-09-06 09:50
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-09-06 09:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-09-06 09:40
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.82%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%2.4%2026-09-06 09:50