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Kashiwa Reysol v FC Machida Zelvia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol (Local)
Prediction 46.85%2.13fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.98%46.67%48.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.952.0653.76%51.17%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Machida Zelvia (Visit)
Prediction 24.93%4.01fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.585%
Kelly -0.785%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%24.90%25.07%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.653.653.9229.85%27.41%27.40%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.21%28.12%28.26%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.4232.26%31.01%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 46.85%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visit): 24.93%; Draw: 28.22%. For FC Machida Zelvia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.92, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -3.48%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -2.29%E -0.585%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.36%E -2.65%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 04:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 04:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 04:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 11:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 04:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 04:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 04:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 04:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 04:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.11%E -4.69%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.29%E -0.585%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.30%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 04:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 04:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -10.98%E -5.78%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -16.50%E -4.93%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 04:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.63%EV -11.92%E -6.34%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.27%EV -13.51%E -3.89%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 04:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -12.39%E -6.62%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.01%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 04:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.83%EV -12.85%E -6.91%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -14.01%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.92%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 04:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.