默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kashiwa Reysol v FC Machida Zelvia

开赛时间： 2026-03-14 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

47%

25%

28%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kashiwa Reysol (主队)

预测 46.85%2.13公平赔率

EV -3.48%

优势 -1.69%

Kelly -3.29%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布

45.74%46.98%46.67%48.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.861.951.952.0653.76%51.17%51.28%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Machida Zelvia (客队)

预测 24.93%4.01公平赔率

EV -2.29%

优势 -0.585%

Kelly -0.785%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.92

博彩公司预测分布

23.80%24.90%25.07%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.353.653.653.9229.85%27.41%27.40%25.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.22%3.54公平赔率

EV -3.48%

优势 -1.02%

Kelly -1.44%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.42

博彩公司预测分布

27.21%28.12%28.26%29.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.103.233.203.4232.26%31.01%31.25%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kashiwa Reysol (主队)：46.85%；FC Machida Zelvia (客队)：24.93%；平局：28.22%。对于“FC Machida Zelvia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.01。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.92，期望值为-2.29%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -3.48%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%	3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -2.29%E -0.585%K -0.785%G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-14 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.36%E -2.65%K -5.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-14 04:40
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-14 04:35
BetAnything🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-14 04:40
BetMGM🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-13 11:48
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-14 04:39
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-14 04:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-14 04:40
888sport🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-14 04:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-14 04:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-14 04:55
William Hill🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-14 04:35
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-03-14 04:34
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-03-13 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-03-13 11:50
Neds🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-03-13 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-03-13 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.11%E -4.69%K -9.69%G +0.000%	3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.29%E -0.585%K -0.785%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.30%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-14 04:54
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-14 04:54
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -10.98%E -5.78%K -12.20%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -16.50%E -4.93%K -7.02%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-03-14 04:39
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 46.63%EV -11.92%E -6.34%K -13.54%G +0.000%	3.47I 28.82%NM 25.27%EV -13.51%E -3.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-03-14 04:38
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -12.39%E -6.62%K -14.24%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.01%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%	14.7%	2026-03-14 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 46.83%EV -12.85%E -6.91%K -14.95%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -14.01%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 27.92%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-03-14 04:39

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。