The School of Odds
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Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v JEF United Chiba

2026-08-08 10:15 UTC — J League

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)

Prediction 64.55%1.55fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -10.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.40%64.01%64.55%65.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4773.53%70.77%70.18%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JEF United Chiba (Visit)

Prediction 14.05%7.12fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.30%14.41%14.05%16.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.356.497.0018.52%15.74%15.41%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.40%4.67fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.12%21.57%21.40%22.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.194.204.4426.32%23.88%23.81%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local): 64.55%; JEF United Chiba (Visit): 14.05%; Draw: 21.40%. For JEF United Chiba (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.00, with an expected value of -1.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -5.11%E -3.47%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.66%E -0.237%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 11:59
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.34%EV -5.75%E -3.94%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.50%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.16%EV -5.00%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 12:00
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.69%E -5.38%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.66%E -0.237%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:00
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.69%E -5.38%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.68%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 11:55
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.40%EV -7.69%E -5.38%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -24.14%E -4.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.34%EV -15.91%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 11:49
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -8.33%E -5.87%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.66%E -0.237%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 11:58
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.04%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.11%EV -19.22%E -3.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -18.69%E -4.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-01 12:05
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.00%EV -11.56%E -8.44%K -31.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -15.71%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-01 11:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -12.21%E -8.98%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -8.68%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-01 11:59
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.67%EV -12.21%E -8.98%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.68%EV -17.11%E -2.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-01 11:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.