Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v JEF United Chiba

Inizio: 2026-08-08 10:15 UTC

Finale: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 3–0 JEF United Chiba

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa)

Previsione 68.10%1.47quota equa
EV -4.66%
Vantaggio -3.33%
Kelly -11.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.83%67.84%67.94%69.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.07%73.80%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

JEF United Chiba (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.55%7.97quota equa
EV +6.67%
Vantaggio +0.784%
Kelly +0.889%
Crescita +0.059%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.17%12.70%12.60%14.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.357.308.5016.67%13.60%13.70%11.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.35%5.17quota equa
EV +0.061%
Vantaggio +0.012%
Kelly +0.015%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.54%19.46%19.46%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.684.655.1723.81%21.38%21.51%19.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa): 68.10%; JEF United Chiba (Trasferta): 12.55%; Pareggio: 19.35%. Per JEF United Chiba (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.97. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.67%.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.83%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +6.67%E +0.784%K +0.889%G +0.059%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -8.07%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.21%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV +3.53%E +0.428%K +0.487%G +0.017%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.10%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.392%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -5.16%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:09
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +0.392%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -11.47%E -8.83%K -38.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV +0.392%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.97%E -2.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.47%E -8.83%K -38.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV +0.392%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:10
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.44%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.97I 12.55%NM 12.02%EV +0.015%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.54%EV +0.061%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 10:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.08%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -2.12%E -0.272%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.10%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:00
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -5.88%E -0.784%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.23%E -0.646%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 10:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -5.88%E -0.784%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.07%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 09:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -5.88%E -0.784%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -5.88%E -0.784%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:10
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.50%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.03%EV -10.90%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -8.07%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.50%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.03%EV -10.90%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -8.07%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 10:00
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.16%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.97%E -2.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 09:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.16%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.97%E -2.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.16%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.97%E -2.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.16%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.97%E -2.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.59%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -12.16%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.48%EV -10.00%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.75%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -12.16%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.38%EV -10.00%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -11.47%E -8.83%K -38.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -12.16%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 10:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -18.43%E -2.84%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -5.16%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -21.57%E -3.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -24.71%E -4.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -18.71%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-05 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.3%2026-08-08 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.3%2026-08-08 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.3%2026-08-08 10:10
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.3%2026-08-08 10:05
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%2.0%2026-08-08 09:50
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.61%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14%2.4%2026-08-08 10:05