The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Gamba Osaka v Urawa Red Diamonds

2026-08-07 10:30 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gamba Osaka (Local)

Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.11%40.20%40.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.302.3946.51%44.07%43.48%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)

Prediction 31.43%3.18fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.00%31.51%31.34%32.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.893.0537.04%34.67%34.60%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.49%28.38%28.45%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.4033.33%30.99%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gamba Osaka (Local): 40.20%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 31.43%; Draw: 28.37%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -3.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.98%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 16:34
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.04%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.35%EV -4.45%E -1.46%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.62%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 17:05
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.42%E -3.66%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 16:34
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 16:34
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 16:34
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-31 16:32
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 16:34
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-31 16:34
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.55%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 16:34
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.43%EV -12.76%E -5.88%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.00%EV -11.05%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.58%EV -12.92%E -4.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-31 16:33
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.56%E -6.31%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -13.56%E -4.93%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-31 16:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -13.56%E -6.31%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -15.14%E -5.61%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-31 16:34
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -13.56%E -6.31%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -15.14%E -5.61%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-31 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.