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Gamba Osaka v Urawa Red Diamonds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka (Local)
Prediction 39.65%2.52fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.55%39.66%39.65%40.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.322.4545.45%42.86%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)
Prediction 31.74%3.15fair odd
EV +5.71%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%31.72%31.80%32.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.903.3336.36%34.39%34.48%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.61%3.50fair odd
EV -0.729%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.295%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.77%28.62%28.56%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.063.213.203.4732.68%31.20%31.25%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gamba Osaka (Local): 39.65%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 31.74%; Draw: 28.61%. For Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV +5.71%E +1.71%K +2.45%G +0.140% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -12.46%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.32%EV -5.24%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.91%EV -4.13%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.77%EV -0.729%E -0.210%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 10:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -8.02%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 09:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 10:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -10.00%E -4.41%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.07%EV -10.46%E -3.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 10:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.94%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.94%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.94%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.53%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 10:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.53%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.53%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.12%E -3.97%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.12%E -3.97%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 10:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.12%E -3.97%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 10:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 10:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 10:26 |
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