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Gamba Osaka v Urawa Red Diamonds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gamba Osaka (Local)
Predicción 39.65%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.55%39.66%39.65%40.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.322.4545.45%42.86%43.10%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante)
Predicción 31.74%3.15momio equitativo
EV +5.71%
Ventaja +1.71%
Kelly +2.45%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.53%31.72%31.80%32.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.912.903.3336.36%34.39%34.48%30.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.61%3.50momio equitativo
EV -0.729%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.295%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.77%28.62%28.56%31.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.063.213.203.4732.68%31.20%31.25%28.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gamba Osaka (Local): 39.65%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante): 31.74%; Empate: 28.61%. Para Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.15. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.71%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV +5.71%E +1.71%K +2.45%G +0.140% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -12.46%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.32%EV -5.24%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.91%EV -4.13%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.77%EV -0.729%E -0.210%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 10:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -8.02%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 09:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 10:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -10.00%E -4.41%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.07%EV -10.46%E -3.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 10:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -6.36%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.94%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.94%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.94%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.58%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.53%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 10:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.53%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.53%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-07 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.12%E -3.97%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.12%E -3.97%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 10:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.12%E -3.97%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 09:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 10:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 10:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 10:26 |