Language:English
FC Tokyo v Mito HollyHock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Tokyo (Local)
Prediction 53.82%1.86fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.61%53.74%53.77%54.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.721.7760.98%58.33%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mito HollyHock (Visit)
Prediction 19.38%5.16fair odd
EV +0.971%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.54%19.46%19.38%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.704.755.2123.26%21.28%21.05%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.63%26.79%26.85%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.453.6030.77%29.34%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Tokyo (Local): 53.82%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 19.38%; Draw: 26.80%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.971%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.54%EV +0.971%E +0.186%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.90%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.34%EV -6.74%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:02 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -6.74%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.74%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.74%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -10.66%E -6.42%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.91%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 04:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.66%EV -11.74%E -7.16%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -16.66%E -3.88%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |