La scuola delle quoteItaliano
FC Tokyo v Mito HollyHock
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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FC Tokyo (Casa)
Previsione 53.82%1.86quota equa
EV -4.74%
Vantaggio -2.68%
Kelly -6.16%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.61%53.74%53.77%54.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.711.721.7760.98%58.33%58.14%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mito HollyHock (Trasferta)
Previsione 19.38%5.16quota equa
EV +0.971%
Vantaggio +0.186%
Kelly +0.231%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.54%19.46%19.38%20.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.704.755.2123.26%21.28%21.05%19.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.80%3.73quota equa
EV -3.52%
Vantaggio -0.978%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.63%26.79%26.85%27.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.413.453.6030.77%29.34%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.54%EV +0.971%E +0.186%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.90%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 10:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.34%EV -6.74%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:02 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -6.74%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.74%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.74%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -10.66%E -6.42%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.91%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 04:30 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.51%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.66%EV -11.74%E -7.16%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -16.66%E -3.88%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |