默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Tokyo v Kyoto Purple Sanga

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 10:30 UTC

最终结果: FC Tokyo 2–0 Kyoto Purple Sanga

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Tokyo (主队)

预测 63.30%1.58公平赔率
EV -2.51%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -4.65%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
60.54%63.31%63.32%65.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.471.481.5471.94%67.93%67.57%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kyoto Purple Sanga (客队)

预测 15.64%6.39公平赔率
EV +6.34%
优势 +0.932%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.069%

假设最高赔率为 6.80

博彩公司预测分布
13.95%15.62%15.63%17.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.255.825.756.8019.05%17.18%17.39%14.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.06%4.75公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.219%
Kelly -0.278%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
20.18%21.07%21.05%22.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.264.204.7025.00%23.47%23.81%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Tokyo (主队):63.30%;Kyoto Purple Sanga (客队):15.64%;平局:21.06%。 对于“Kyoto Purple Sanga (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.39。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.80,对应+6.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.87%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV +6.34%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.069%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -1.03%E -0.219%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.87%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV +6.34%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.069%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -1.03%E -0.219%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:10
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.19%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.19%EV -0.856%E -0.135%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.62%EV -1.66%E -0.355%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 10:25
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:12
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.11%E -7.12%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -3.05%E -0.491%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 10:10
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -4.61%E -0.756%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:15
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.02%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.50%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -9.48%E -6.63%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 10:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.37%E -8.12%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.37%E -8.12%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -9.48%E -6.63%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 10:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.30%EV -12.01%E -8.64%K -30.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.30%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.30%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 10:10
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 10:07
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.06%EV -10.11%E -7.12%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -15.56%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 10:15
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 62.46%6.80I 14.71%NM 15.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 22.19%-4.1%2026-09-06 10:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-09-06 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20