Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Tokyo v Kyoto Purple Sanga

Início: 2026-09-06 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Tokyo 2–0 Kyoto Purple Sanga

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Previsão 63.30%1.58odd justa
EV -2.51%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.54%63.31%63.32%65.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.391.471.481.5471.94%67.93%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante)

Previsão 15.64%6.39odd justa
EV +6.34%
Vantagem +0.932%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.069%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.95%15.62%15.63%17.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.255.825.756.8019.05%17.18%17.39%14.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.06%4.75odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.219%
Kelly -0.278%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.18%21.07%21.05%22.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.264.204.7025.00%23.47%23.81%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Tokyo (Local): 63.30%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante): 15.64%; Empate: 21.06%. Para Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.39. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.87%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV +6.34%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.069%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -1.03%E -0.219%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.87%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV +6.34%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.069%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -1.03%E -0.219%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:10
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.19%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.19%EV -0.856%E -0.135%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.62%EV -1.66%E -0.355%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 10:25
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:12
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.11%E -7.12%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -3.05%E -0.491%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 10:10
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -4.61%E -0.756%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:15
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.02%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.50%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -9.48%E -6.63%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 10:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.37%E -8.12%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.37%E -8.12%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -9.48%E -6.63%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 10:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.30%EV -12.01%E -8.64%K -30.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.30%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.30%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 10:10
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 10:07
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.06%EV -10.11%E -7.12%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -15.56%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 10:15
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 62.46%6.80I 14.71%NM 15.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 22.19%-4.1%2026-09-06 10:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-09-06 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20