Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Tokyo v Kyoto Purple Sanga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 10:30 UTC

Score final : FC Tokyo 2–0 Kyoto Purple Sanga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Prévision 63.30%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.54%63.31%63.32%65.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.471.481.5471.94%67.93%67.57%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.64%6.39cote équitable
EV +6.34%
Avantage +0.932%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.95%15.62%15.63%17.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.255.825.756.8019.05%17.18%17.39%14.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.06%4.75cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.219%
Kelly -0.278%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.18%21.07%21.05%22.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.264.204.7025.00%23.47%23.81%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Tokyo (Local) : 63.30% ; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visiteur) : 15.64% ; Match nul : 21.06%. Pour Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.39. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.80, soit une espérance positive de +6.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.87%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV +6.34%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.069%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -1.03%E -0.219%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.87%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV +6.34%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.069%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -1.03%E -0.219%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:10
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.19%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.19%EV -0.856%E -0.135%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.62%EV -1.66%E -0.355%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 10:25
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:12
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.26%E -0.362%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.11%E -7.12%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -3.05%E -0.491%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 10:10
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.59%EV -4.61%E -0.756%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:15
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.02%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.50%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -9.48%E -6.63%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 10:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.37%E -8.12%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.37%E -8.12%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.17%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -9.48%E -6.63%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 10:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.30%EV -12.01%E -8.64%K -30.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -7.74%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.30%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.30%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 10:10
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -10.08%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.43%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 10:07
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.99%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.06%EV -10.11%E -7.12%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -15.56%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 10:15
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.90%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 62.46%6.80I 14.71%NM 15.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 22.19%-4.1%2026-09-06 10:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-09-06 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-06 10:20