Language:English
FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Tokyo (Local)
Prediction 32.81%3.05fair odd
EV -0.905%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%32.79%32.72%33.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.783.0238.46%36.07%35.97%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visit)
Prediction 37.74%2.65fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.689%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.97%37.75%37.82%38.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.412.422.6244.64%41.52%41.32%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.83%29.46%29.46%30.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.15%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Tokyo (Local): 32.81%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visit): 37.74%; Draw: 29.45%. For FC Tokyo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.02, with an expected value of -0.905%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.08%EV -0.905%E -0.300%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.97%EV -1.12%E -0.426%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.95%EV -7.84%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -4.19%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.94%EV -7.15%E -2.91%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 05:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.84%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 05:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 05:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.83%E -0.858%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 05:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.66%E -3.58%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.66%E -3.58%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.17%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.17%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -10.55%E -4.45%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -10.55%E -4.45%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 05:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.82%EV -12.39%E -4.64%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.44%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -15.08%E -6.70%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.19%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-28 05:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 38.77%EV -15.46%E -6.90%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.83%EV -8.13%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-28 05:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.