默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol

开赛时间： 2026-02-28 06:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

33%

38%

29%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Tokyo (主队)

预测 32.81%3.05公平赔率

EV -0.905%

优势 -0.300%

Kelly -0.448%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.02

博彩公司预测分布

31.96%32.79%32.72%33.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.602.772.783.0238.46%36.07%35.97%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kashiwa Reysol (客队)

预测 37.74%2.65公平赔率

EV -1.12%

优势 -0.426%

Kelly -0.689%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.62

博彩公司预测分布

36.97%37.75%37.82%38.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.242.412.422.6244.64%41.52%41.32%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.45%3.40公平赔率

EV -2.83%

优势 -0.858%

Kelly -1.23%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布

27.83%29.46%29.46%30.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.15%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Tokyo (主队)：32.81%；Kashiwa Reysol (客队)：37.74%；平局：29.45%。对于“FC Tokyo (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.05。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.02，期望值为-0.905%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 32.08%EV -0.905%E -0.300%K -0.448%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.97%EV -1.12%E -0.426%K -0.689%G +0.000%	3.13I 31.95%NM 30.95%EV -7.84%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-28 05:49
Marathon Bet🎯	2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -4.19%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 37.94%EV -7.15%E -2.91%K -4.90%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-02-28 05:54
DraftKings🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.84%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 05:39
BetAnything🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-28 05:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-28 05:49
BetMGM🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.83%E -0.858%K -1.23%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-28 04:39
Betway🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-02-28 05:44
888sport🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-02-28 05:49
William Hill🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-02-28 05:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-02-28 05:49
888sport (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-02-28 05:49
NordicBet🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.66%E -3.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-02-28 05:49
Betsson🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.66%E -3.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-02-28 05:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.17%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-02-28 05:49
Neds🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.17%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-02-28 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -10.55%E -4.45%K -7.70%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-02-28 05:49
Coral🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -10.55%E -4.45%K -7.70%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-02-28 05:49
BoyleSports🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-02-28 05:54
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.37%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-02-28 05:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 32.82%EV -12.39%E -4.64%K -7.42%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 38.44%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-02-28 05:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -15.08%E -6.70%K -12.06%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-02-28 05:49
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.19%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-02-28 05:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 38.77%EV -15.46%E -6.90%K -12.47%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 27.83%EV -8.13%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%	15.2%	2026-02-28 05:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。