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FC Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F Marinos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Prediction 49.92%2.00fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.33%50.12%49.81%51.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.851.9456.18%54.30%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)
Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.465%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%23.11%23.44%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.943.954.3527.03%25.36%25.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -0.703%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%26.77%26.75%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.403.6730.77%29.40%29.41%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 49.92%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 23.35%; Draw: 26.74%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV +1.56%E +0.358%K +0.465%G +0.007% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.65%E -5.33%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV +0.391%E +0.091%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 06:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.84%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -1.94%E -0.463%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 06:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.81%EV -3.16%E -1.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -1.88%E -0.511%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.16%E -3.27%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 06:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 06:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 06:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 06:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 05:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -9.15%E -5.03%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.12%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 06:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -8.15%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.12%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.98%EV -9.90%E -2.94%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 05:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 05:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 05:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-06 06:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.