La scuola delle quote

FC Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F Marinos

Inizio: 2026-05-06 07:00 UTC

Finale: FC Machida Zelvia 2–0 Yokohama F Marinos

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Machida Zelvia (Casa)

Previsione 49.92%2.00quota equa
EV -3.16%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -3.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.33%50.12%49.81%51.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.841.851.9456.18%54.30%54.05%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yokohama F Marinos (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.35%4.28quota equa
EV +1.56%
Vantaggio +0.358%
Kelly +0.465%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.26%23.11%23.44%24.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.943.954.3527.03%25.36%25.32%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.74%3.74quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -0.703%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.33%26.77%26.75%27.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.403.403.6730.77%29.40%29.41%27.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV +1.56%E +0.358%K +0.465%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 13:14
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.65%E -5.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV +0.391%E +0.091%K +0.118%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 06:53
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 50.84%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -1.94%E -0.463%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 06:54
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.81%EV -3.16%E -1.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -1.88%E -0.511%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 06:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 06:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 06:55
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.16%E -3.27%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 06:54
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 06:54
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 06:55
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 06:54
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 06:53
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 06:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 05:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 06:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 06:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 06:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -9.15%E -5.03%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.12%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 06:54
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -8.15%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.12%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.98%EV -9.90%E -2.94%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 05:14
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 05:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 05:14
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-06 06:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.