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Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale

2026-10-17 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cerezo Osaka (Local)

Prediction 33.88%2.95fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.33%33.89%33.93%34.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.722.8240.00%36.97%36.76%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)

Prediction 40.04%2.50fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.80%40.04%39.97%42.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.282.302.4050.00%43.91%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.807%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.07%26.11%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.42%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 33.88%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 40.04%; Draw: 26.07%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.22%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -4.45%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.87%EV -3.78%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 08:20
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.92%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.39%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.69%EV -3.26%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 09:54
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.30%EV -7.50%E -3.25%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 08:24
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 07:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.84%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 08:17
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.84%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 08:20
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 08:20
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 08:20
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.33%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.84%EV -19.91%E -9.96%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-11 08:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.91%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 08:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.45%EV -13.11%E -6.04%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -12.13%E -3.60%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-11 08:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.91%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-11 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -13.60%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -11.91%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-11 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.29%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -13.91%E -6.47%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-11 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%10.1%2026-10-11 11:45