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Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Prediction 30.78%3.25fair odd
EV +0.042%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.019%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.23%30.82%30.83%32.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.903.2536.36%33.77%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)
Prediction 43.56%2.30fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.02%43.60%43.56%45.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.122.142.2351.81%47.10%46.73%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV -0.208%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.072%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%25.59%25.61%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.8930.30%28.05%27.78%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 30.78%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 43.56%; Draw: 25.65%. For Cerezo Osaka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.249. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.042%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV +0.042%E +0.013%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -3.04%E -0.964%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.92%EV -3.65%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.20%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -0.208%E -0.053%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.12%EV -8.08%E -3.83%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 04:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 04:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -7.64%E -3.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 05:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.23%E -0.321%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 04:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 05:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -7.64%E -3.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -7.64%E -3.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 04:45 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 04:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -9.19%E -3.12%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.17%EV -15.92%E -8.25%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -9.81%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -12.01%E -3.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 04:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.81%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 05:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.06%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.39%EV -9.39%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 05:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |