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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale

2026-10-17 06:00 UTC — J League

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cerezo Osaka (主队)

预测 33.88%2.95公平赔率
EV -4.45%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -2.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.82

博彩公司预测分布
32.33%33.89%33.93%34.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.702.722.8240.00%36.97%36.76%35.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kawasaki Frontale (客队)

预测 40.04%2.50公平赔率
EV -3.90%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -2.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.80%40.04%39.97%42.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.282.302.4050.00%43.91%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.07%3.84公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -0.592%
Kelly -0.807%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.83%26.07%26.11%26.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.42%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Cerezo Osaka (主队)：33.88%；Kawasaki Frontale (客队)：40.04%；平局：26.07%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.75，期望值为-2.22%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -4.45%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.87%EV -3.78%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 08:20
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.92%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.39%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.69%EV -3.26%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 09:54
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.30%EV -7.50%E -3.25%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 08:24
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 07:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 08:15
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.84%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 08:17
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.84%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 08:20
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 08:20
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 08:20
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.33%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.84%EV -19.91%E -9.96%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-11 08:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.91%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 08:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.45%EV -13.11%E -6.04%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -12.13%E -3.60%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-11 08:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.91%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-11 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -13.60%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -11.91%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-11 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.29%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -13.91%E -6.47%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-11 08:38
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%8.1%2026-10-11 12:20