預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama

開賽時間: 2026-08-08 10:00 UTC

最終賽果: Cerezo Osaka 2–1 Fagiano Okayama

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

33 家博彩公司 (14 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cerezo Osaka (主隊)

預測 44.80%2.23公平賠率
EV -2.33%
優勢 -1.07%
Kelly -1.97%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.18

博彩公司預測分布
43.44%45.18%44.84%49.65%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.802.062.052.1855.56%48.51%48.78%45.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Fagiano Okayama (客隊)

預測 27.69%3.61公平賠率
EV -0.334%
優勢 -0.093%
Kelly -0.128%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.60

博彩公司預測分布
24.82%27.46%27.67%28.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.333.353.6032.26%29.99%29.85%27.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 27.51%3.64公平賠率
EV -0.964%
優勢 -0.268%
Kelly -0.371%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.60

博彩公司預測分布
25.53%27.36%27.49%28.62%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.353.323.6031.25%29.84%30.12%27.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Cerezo Osaka (主隊):44.80%;Fagiano Okayama (客隊):27.69%;和局:27.51%。 對於「Fagiano Okayama (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.61的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.60,期望值為-0.334%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (33 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.99%EV -2.33%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.72%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -2.06%E -0.580%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 09:55
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.61%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -1.72%E -0.484%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 09:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 09:54
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 09:09
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 09:05
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:10
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.25%E -3.50%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.42%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 09:55
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.964%E -0.268%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 09:50
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:55
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.20%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 09:32
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:06
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.18%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 09:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.14%EV -10.84%E -5.45%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -19.35%E -10.75%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -0.334%E -0.093%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-05 15:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%0.2%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-08 09:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 09:55
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-08 09:55