语言:简体中文
Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cerezo Osaka (主队)
预测 44.80%2.23公平赔率
EV -2.33%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.18
博彩公司预测分布
43.44%45.18%44.84%49.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.802.062.052.1855.56%48.51%48.78%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fagiano Okayama (客队)
预测 27.69%3.61公平赔率
EV -0.334%
优势 -0.093%
Kelly -0.128%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
24.82%27.46%27.67%28.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.333.353.6032.26%29.99%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.51%3.64公平赔率
EV -0.964%
优势 -0.268%
Kelly -0.371%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.53%27.36%27.49%28.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.353.323.6031.25%29.84%30.12%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cerezo Osaka (主队)：44.80%；Fagiano Okayama (客队)：27.69%；平局：27.51%。 对于“Fagiano Okayama (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-0.334%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.99%EV -2.33%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.72%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -2.06%E -0.580%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.61%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -1.72%E -0.484%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 09:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 09:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.25%E -3.50%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.42%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.964%E -0.268%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.20%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 09:32 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.18%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.14%EV -10.84%E -5.45%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -19.35%E -10.75%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -0.334%E -0.093%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |