Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.19
assuming max odds 4.12
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 44.69%; Reggiana (Visit): 24.38%; Draw: 30.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.14%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -12.85%E -6.59%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV +5.14%E +1.51%K +2.14%G +0.110% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV +0.505%E +0.155%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 18:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -15.53%E -8.22%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -16.42%E -8.78%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -16.42%E -8.78%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -17.31%E -9.36%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -3.70%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -21.78%E -12.45%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.70%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.17%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.55%EV -6.92%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 18:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.17%EV -2.12%E -0.967%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.48%EV +0.448%E +0.109%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -7.54%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.27%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.27%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -12.40%E -6.33%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 18:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -19.54%E -5.92%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -9.08%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.77%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -14.96%E -5.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -18.98%E -7.24%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.99%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.34%EV -18.98%E -7.24%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.51%EV -19.60%E -7.54%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.07%EV -17.31%E -9.36%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.28%EV -24.23%E -9.89%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.35% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.20% | 2.5% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |