La escuela de los momios

Virtus Entella v Reggiana

Inicio: 2026-03-22 18:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Predicción 44.69%2.24momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.967%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.57%44.79%44.75%50.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.752.022.052.1957.14%49.59%48.78%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Reggiana (Visitante)

Predicción 24.38%4.10momio equitativo
EV +0.448%
Ventaja +0.109%
Kelly +0.144%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.95%24.35%24.39%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.843.904.1230.30%26.05%25.64%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.92%3.23momio equitativo
EV +5.14%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +2.14%
Crecimiento +0.110%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.87%30.86%30.86%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.453.003.003.4040.82%33.35%33.33%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -12.85%E -6.59%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV +5.14%E +1.51%K +2.14%G +0.110%5.1%2026-03-22 18:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV +0.505%E +0.155%K +0.224%G +0.001%9.0%2026-03-22 18:21
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -15.53%E -8.22%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:30
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:29
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:29
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -15.97%E -8.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -16.42%E -8.78%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:30
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -16.42%E -8.78%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.04%E -0.325%K -0.473%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:30
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 18:29
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 18:29
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -17.31%E -9.36%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -3.70%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 18:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -21.78%E -12.45%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 18:29
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.70%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 18:30
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.17%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.55%EV -6.92%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 18:30
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 18:29
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 18:29
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 18:28
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.17%EV -2.12%E -0.967%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.48%EV +0.448%E +0.109%K +0.144%G +0.001%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -7.54%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 18:29
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.27%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:29
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.27%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:29
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 18:29
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -12.40%E -6.33%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 18:28
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -19.54%E -5.92%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 18:30
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -9.08%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 18:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 18:29
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 18:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:29
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.77%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 18:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -14.96%E -5.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 18:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -2.48%E -0.619%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -18.98%E -7.24%K -11.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 18:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.99%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.34%EV -18.98%E -7.24%K -11.71%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 18:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -7.35%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.51%EV -19.60%E -7.54%K -12.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 18:29
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.07%EV -17.31%E -9.36%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.28%EV -24.23%E -9.89%K -16.71%G +0.000%22.6%2026-03-22 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-03-22 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-03-22 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-03-22 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.35%1.3%2026-03-22 18:30
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.20%2.5%2026-03-22 18:30