L’École des cotes

Virtus Entella v Padova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prévision 46.44%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.34%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.00%46.43%46.36%47.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.992.002.0654.05%50.33%50.00%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Padova (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.14%3.98cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.414%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.18%25.14%25.20%26.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.613.603.9330.77%27.71%27.78%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.43%3.52cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%28.43%28.44%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.193.173.4034.72%31.32%31.50%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.34%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 17:48
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 01:10
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.73%E -2.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.35%E -0.987%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 12:44
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 10:24
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 10:24
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 00:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 00:30
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.32%EV -6.66%E -3.31%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.20%EV -1.21%E -0.309%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.35%E -0.987%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:03
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:04
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.85%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.77%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 02:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 13:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 23:14
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 12:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -8.05%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -3.98%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 02:34
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -8.05%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 12:45
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -8.52%E -4.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 00:30
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.98%E -4.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 13:44
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.98%E -4.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 23:04
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 08:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 08:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 08:30
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 13:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 12:19
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 13:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 01:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 01:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -9.91%E -5.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -10.37%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:05
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -10.37%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.30%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 00:30
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 06:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -18.14%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-22 13:04
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -11.77%E -6.19%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.77%EV -12.70%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -18.31%E -5.63%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 01:39
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.84%EV -14.09%E -7.62%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.41%EV -13.30%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 06:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%5.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%10.9%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 37.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.25%1.03I 97.09%NM 49.52%96.1%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 37.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.25%1.03I 97.09%NM 49.52%96.1%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 36.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.12%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.01%98.0%2026-04-24 01:50