La escuela de los momios

Virtus Entella v Padova

Inicio: 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Predicción 46.44%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -4.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.00%46.43%46.36%47.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.992.002.0654.05%50.33%50.00%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Padova (Visitante)

Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.414%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%25.14%25.20%26.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.613.603.9330.77%27.71%27.78%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.43%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.987%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.43%28.44%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.173.4034.72%31.32%31.50%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.34%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 17:48
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 01:10
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.73%E -2.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.35%E -0.987%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 12:44
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 10:24
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 10:24
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 00:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.19%E -3.07%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 00:30
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.32%EV -6.66%E -3.31%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.20%EV -1.21%E -0.309%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.35%E -0.987%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:03
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:04
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.85%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.77%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 02:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 13:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 23:14
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 12:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -8.05%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -3.98%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 02:34
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -8.05%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 12:45
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -8.52%E -4.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 00:30
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.98%E -4.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 13:44
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.98%E -4.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 23:04
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 08:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 08:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 08:30
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 13:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 12:19
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 13:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 01:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.45%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 01:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -9.91%E -5.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -10.37%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:05
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -10.37%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.30%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 00:30
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 06:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -11.30%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -18.14%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-22 13:04
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -11.77%E -6.19%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.77%EV -12.70%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -18.31%E -5.63%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 01:39
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.84%EV -14.09%E -7.62%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.41%EV -13.30%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 06:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%5.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%10.9%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 37.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.25%1.03I 97.09%NM 49.52%96.1%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 37.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.25%1.03I 97.09%NM 49.52%96.1%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 36.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 13.12%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.01%98.0%2026-04-24 01:50