L’École des cotesFrançais
Virtus Entella v Modena
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Virtus Entella (Local)
Prévision 27.95%3.58cote équitable
EV +0.895%
Avantage +0.248%
Kelly +0.343%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.33%27.89%27.97%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.333.353.6132.79%30.00%29.85%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Modena (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.31%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.69%41.37%41.32%43.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.202.3550.00%45.32%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.74%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.509%
Kelly -0.740%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.32%30.75%30.72%32.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.983.003.2038.46%33.51%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV +0.895%E +0.248%K +0.343%G +0.003% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -3.75%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -1.06%E -0.300%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.23%E -2.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -6.85%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| BetUS | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -8.29%E -3.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.47%E -3.33%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -4.57%E -1.98%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -12.42%E -5.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.43%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -11.77%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.42%E -5.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.42%E -5.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -2.92%E -1.24%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.21%EV -14.08%E -6.77%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-03 18:16 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.63%E -0.509%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 18:44 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 18:56 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.98%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.98%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 18:53 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -10.01%E -3.11%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.51%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-03 18:54 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| William Hill | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 18:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-03 18:31 |
| theScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.65%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.41%EV -14.49%E -7.00%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 30.94%EV -14.85%E -5.36%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-03 18:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.42%EV -17.38%E -8.69%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.86%EV -20.07%E -7.72%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.25%E -6.31%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 18:56 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-03-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |