La escuela de los momios

Virtus Entella v Modena

Inicio: 2026-03-03 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Predicción 27.95%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.895%
Ventaja +0.248%
Kelly +0.343%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.33%27.89%27.97%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.333.353.6132.79%30.00%29.85%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Modena (Visitante)

Predicción 41.31%2.42momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.69%41.37%41.32%43.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.202.3550.00%45.32%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.74%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.509%
Kelly -0.740%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.32%30.75%30.72%32.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.983.003.2038.46%33.51%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV +0.895%E +0.248%K +0.343%G +0.003%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -3.75%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-03 18:50
1xBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -1.06%E -0.300%K -0.418%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.23%E -2.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -6.85%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 18:55
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 18:35
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 18:35
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 18:35
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.60%E -5.42%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:15
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -8.29%E -3.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:55
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.47%E -3.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 18:55
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -4.57%E -1.98%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 18:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -12.42%E -5.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 18:15
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.43%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -11.77%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 18:35
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.42%E -5.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 18:15
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.42%E -5.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 18:15
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -2.92%E -1.24%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 18:30
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 18:50
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.21%EV -14.08%E -6.77%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 18:16
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.63%E -0.509%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 18:44
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 18:49
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 18:56
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.98%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 18:50
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.04%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.98%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 18:50
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 18:30
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:53
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 18:30
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 18:55
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -10.01%E -3.11%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.51%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-03 18:54
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:30
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:50
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 18:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 18:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 18:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 18:50
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-03 18:31
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 18:10
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.65%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.41%EV -14.49%E -7.00%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.94%EV -14.85%E -5.36%K -8.39%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-03 18:54
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.42%EV -17.38%E -8.69%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.86%EV -20.07%E -7.72%K -12.55%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-03 18:35
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -14.76%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.25%E -6.31%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-03 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-03-03 18:55
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-03-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-03-03 18:56
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-03 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-03 18:50