Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vicenza v Juve Stabia

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:01 UTC

Final: Vicenza 1–1 Juve Stabia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vicenza (Local)

Prediction 46.86%2.13fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.40%46.85%46.92%47.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.971.972.0554.95%50.68%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visit)

Prediction 23.64%4.23fair odd
EV -0.714%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.77%23.73%23.55%25.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.823.854.2028.57%26.15%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.50%3.39fair odd
EV +0.296%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.43%29.54%30.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.28%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vicenza (Local): 46.86%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 23.64%; Draw: 29.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.296%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.296%E +0.087%K +0.123%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 15:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 02:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:50
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.34%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -0.714%E -0.170%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.08%E -0.751%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:00
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 10:49
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 13:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 02:05
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -1.90%E -0.457%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -6.19%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 19:15
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.33%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.20%EV -4.50%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.47%EV -6.19%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -8.15%E -4.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.26%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.19%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.75%E -3.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.75%E -3.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 13:04
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 10:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 10:58
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 20:39
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 02:44
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.96%EV -10.96%E -5.77%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 00:29
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:30
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 00:30
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 23:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.84%EV -11.90%E -6.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.92%EV -10.96%E -5.77%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.92%EV -12.09%E -4.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.55%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.11%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.71%EV -14.71%E -8.08%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-08 13:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.06%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -14.45%E -4.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.52%EV -11.90%E -6.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.45%EV -17.26%E -4.93%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -15.93%E -5.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-07 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%5.6%2026-09-09 13:40
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 46.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.01%14.1%2026-09-09 13:15