Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vicenza v Juve Stabia

Início: 2026-09-12 13:01 UTC

Final: Vicenza 1–1 Juve Stabia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vicenza (Local)

Previsão 46.86%2.13odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.40%46.85%46.92%47.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.971.972.0554.95%50.68%50.76%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Juve Stabia (Visitante)

Previsão 23.64%4.23odd justa
EV -0.714%
Vantagem -0.170%
Kelly -0.223%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.77%23.73%23.55%25.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.823.854.2028.57%26.15%25.97%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.50%3.39odd justa
EV +0.296%
Vantagem +0.087%
Kelly +0.123%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.04%29.43%29.54%30.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.28%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Vicenza (Local): 46.86%; Juve Stabia (Visitante): 23.64%; Empate: 29.50%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.39. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.296%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.296%E +0.087%K +0.123%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 15:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 02:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:50
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.34%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -0.714%E -0.170%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.08%E -0.751%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:00
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 10:49
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 13:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 02:05
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -1.90%E -0.457%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -6.19%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 19:15
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.33%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.20%EV -4.50%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.47%EV -6.19%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -8.15%E -4.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.26%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.19%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.75%E -3.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.75%E -3.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 13:04
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 10:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 10:58
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 20:39
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 02:44
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.96%EV -10.96%E -5.77%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 00:29
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:30
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 00:30
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 23:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.84%EV -11.90%E -6.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.92%EV -10.96%E -5.77%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.92%EV -12.09%E -4.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.55%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.11%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.71%EV -14.71%E -8.08%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-08 13:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.06%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -14.45%E -4.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.52%EV -11.90%E -6.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.45%EV -17.26%E -4.93%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -15.93%E -5.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-07 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%5.6%2026-09-09 13:40
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 46.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.01%14.1%2026-09-09 13:15