Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Venezia v Juve Stabia

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 13:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Venezia (Local)

Prediction 65.78%1.52fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -8.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.04%65.73%65.77%68.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.411.401.4675.76%70.92%71.17%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visit)

Prediction 13.19%7.58fair odd
EV +6.94%
Edge +0.856%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 8.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.66%13.19%13.22%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.826.838.1116.67%14.65%14.65%12.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.04%4.75fair odd
EV -0.072%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.019%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.09%21.01%22.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.254.204.7526.67%23.50%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Venezia (Local): 65.78%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 13.19%; Draw: 21.04%. For Juve Stabia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.58. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.98%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.72%EV +6.94%E +0.856%K +0.976%G +0.068%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +5.49%E +0.686%K +0.784%G +0.043%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.87%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.11%EV +4.83%E +0.608%K +0.695%G +0.034%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.02%EV -3.65%E -0.796%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.46%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.27%EV +2.85%E +0.366%K +0.419%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.46%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.27%EV +2.85%E +0.366%K +0.419%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.25%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +2.85%E +0.366%K +0.419%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.43%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 12:58
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.072%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -12.52%E -9.41%K -37.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.78%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.90%EV -2.42%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -1.12%E -0.239%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.72%EV -4.40%E -0.607%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:53
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.72%EV -4.40%E -0.607%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -12.52%E -9.41%K -37.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.43%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.85%EV -13.18%E -9.98%K -41.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -12.52%E -9.41%K -37.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -21.11%E -5.63%K -7.68%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -8.36%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.38%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:59
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -9.02%E -1.31%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -6.38%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:59
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -9.02%E -1.31%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -6.38%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:59
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -10.99%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -10.99%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.50%EV -12.97%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.50%EV -12.97%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -3.97%E -2.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.04%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.70%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.13%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.49%EV -19.56%E -3.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -16.90%E -4.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 12:59
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.46%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%0.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.46%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%0.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.61%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%1.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.36%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 74.92%8.20I 12.20%NM 9.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 15.94%33.5%2026-04-06 13:00